Causal Inference & Experimentation

Moving beyond correlation to causation: Rigorous statistical methods that measure true business impact and guide strategic decisions.

Featured Case Study

Difference-in-Differences Analysis

Medicaid Expansion Impact Study

Rigorous causal analysis of the 2014 Medicaid expansion using DiD methodology. Analyzed healthcare access across 50 states, comparing treatment (expansion) and control (non-expansion) groups.

Key Finding:

2.1 percentage point reduction in cost-related healthcare delays

16% improvement in healthcare access for expansion states

PythonBRFSS DataFixed EffectsNatural Experiment
Read Full Analysis →
Medicaid expansion impact visualization
0.46

fewer poor mental
health days/month

After correcting for selection bias

Inverse Probability Weighting

Exercise & Mental Health Study

IPW analysis revealing the true causal effect of exercise on mental health. Corrects for self-selection bias where healthier, higher-income individuals are more likely to exercise.

Selection bias impact:

Naive:-1.66 days
IPW:-0.46 days
PythonBRFSS 2019-2020Propensity ScoresCovariate Balance
Explore IPW Analysis →

Coming Soon

Regression Discontinuity Design

Promotion Threshold Analysis

Using RDD to measure the causal impact of promotional campaigns by exploiting arbitrary cutoffs in customer spending or engagement metrics.

Case study in development
Synthetic Control Method

Market Expansion Impact

Constructing synthetic controls to measure the causal impact of geographic expansion when randomized experiments aren't feasible.

Case study in development

Technical Expertise

Languages

Python, R, SQL, Julia

ML Frameworks

TensorFlow, PyTorch, Scikit-learn, XGBoost

MLOps

MLflow, Kubeflow, SageMaker, Vertex AI

Causal Methods

A/B Testing, DiD, RDD, IV, Synthetic Control

Let's Measure What Actually Matters

Whether you need to prove ROI, optimize experiments, or establish causation, I bring rigorous statistical methods to your toughest analytics challenges.

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